November 4th, 2009

Keys to Winning Game 6

NFL odds will be the only thing that matters in the City of Brotherly Love for a while unless the Phillies can stay alive in Game 6 of the World Series. In a matchup of World Series legends, Pedro Martinez gets the ball for the Phillies and faces Andy Pettitte, Major League Baseball's all-time playoff wins leader. Here are each team's keys to victory.

Phillies keys to victory

1. Score first.
Everyone knows the "Who's your daddy" story by now; Pedro Martinez continuously struggles to beat the Yankees in the playoffs. In his last five starts and six appearances against the Bronx Bombers in the postseason he's winless. He also had a 5.66 road ERA this regular season versus 1.88 at home. Even though he was decent at Yankee Stadium in Game 2, allowing three runs over six innings, Mark Teixeira and Hideki Matsui each took him deep. The Yankee faithful were just starting to get to him before he got the hook. If New York scores first and the fans get inside Pedro's head, the Phillies' sportsbook odds of rallying will take a huge hit.

2. Don't be afraid to use any pitcher at any moment. If Cliff Lee wants to pitch, use him. If Cole Hamels wants to pitch, use him. At any point in the game. Brad Lidge clearly can't be trusted right now and the Phillies can't get cocky and "save" any starters for Game 7 if they're losing in Game 6. They have to take things one game at a time.

Yankee keys to victory

1. Pitch around Chase Utley.
The Yankees have lefty Andy Pettitte taking the hill and they know Ryan Howard, who bats fourth, can't seem to solve lefties. He hit .207 against them in the regular season. There's thus no reason for the Yanks to pitch to Utley and risk allowing a sixth homer to him in this series -- which would set a new World Series record.

2. Let Mariano Rivera pitch as many innings as he wants. Like the Phillies, the Yanks shouldn't take Game 6 for granted. Rivera has allowed one earned run in 14.1 playoff innings this season -- none to Philly in the World Series. The Phillies can't figure him out; if Andy Pettitte pitches seven adequate innings, why bother giving the ball to shaky Joba Chamberlain? New York should go right to Rivera and let him pitch two innings.

Pick

Take the Yankees at -208 to win tonight. Andy Pettitte has pitched well at home this postseason so online betting fans should trust him -- and his run support -- with their MLB picks tonight.


Posted by sportsbetting at 09:47 PM | Add a Comment
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